In an interview with podcaster Maurizio Pedrazzoli Grazioli, market analysts and inventors of the Bitcoin Quantile Model discuss the current Bitcoin market — and remain bullish.

Bitcoin has lost around 12 percent since the last high. On platform X, panic dominates: “Everyone is calling for a bear market — but that is actually positive,” says Grazioli. Many investors fear the end of the cycle, while others see alternatives in Ethereum or Solana: “This happens in every cycle — in the end Bitcoin outruns the altcoins.”

PlanC also speaks up in the podcast: “If we were to fall significantly below $100,000, that would be a problem. But structurally nothing is broken.” Instead, corrections are even healthy: “The downside potential is limited, the upside chances are much greater.”

On-chain data provides additional signals. Leverage in the futures market has decreased: “Shorts are increasing — this suggests that the downside is limited,” says Sina, one of the inventors of the Bitcoin Power Laws. At the same time, long-term investors are realizing profits while new buyers are taking losses. Nevertheless, the market remains stable: “The longer Bitcoin stays above $100,000, the more legitimacy this price range gains.”

The outlook remains bullish. According to PlanC, the bull market is far from over: “We could see $140,000 to $160,000 this year — and perhaps $200,000 next year.” A breakthrough into the red price bands of the Quantile Model is considered likely. The key remains the attitude: “The best strategy is to stay invested — those who hold win in the end.”